01888nas a2200301 4500008004100000245004500041210004100086260001200127300001300139490000600152520103800158100001501196700002301211700002801234700002401262700002201286700002501308700001401333700002301347700002401370700002201394700002001416700002601436700001601462700002301478700001601501856006901517 2019 eng d00aThe polar regions in a 2°C warmer world0 apolar regions in a 2°C warmer world c12/2019 aeaaw98830 v53 a

Over the past decade, the Arctic has warmed by 0.75°C, far outpacing the global average, while Antarctic tem- peratures have remained comparatively stable. As Earth approaches 2°C warming, the Arctic and Antarctic may reach 4°C and 2°C mean annual warming, and 7°C and 3°C winter warming, respectively. Expected consequences of increased Arctic warming include ongoing loss of land and sea ice, threats to wildlife and traditional human livelihoods, increased methane emissions, and extreme weather at lower latitudes. With low biodiversity, Antarctic ecosystems may be vulnerable to state shifts and species invasions. Land ice loss in both regions will contribute substantially to global sea level rise, with up to 3 m rise possible if certain thresholds are crossed. Mitigation efforts can slow or reduce warming, but without them northern high latitude warming may accelerate in the next two to four decades. International cooperation will be crucial to foreseeing and adapting to expected changes.

1 aPost, Eric1 aAlley, Richard, B.1 aChristensen, Torben, R.1 aMacias-Fauria, Marc1 aForbes, Bruce, C.1 aGooseff, Michael, N.1 aIler, Amy1 aKerby, Jeffrey, T.1 aLaidre, Kristin, L.1 aMann, Michael, E.1 aOlofsson, Johan1 aStroeve, Julienne, C.1 aUlmer, Fran1 aVirginia, Ross, A.1 aWang, Muyin uhttp://advances.sciencemag.org/lookup/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aaw988303232nas a2200169 4500008004100000245012600041210006900167260001200236300001000248490000600258520266000264100002102924700003302945700002502978700002203003856003703025 2017 eng d00aPrimary productivity as a control over soil microbial diversity along environmental gradients in a polar desert ecosystem0 aPrimary productivity as a control over soil microbial diversity  c07/2017 ae33770 v53 a

Primary production is the fundamental source of energy to foodwebs and ecosystems, and is thus an important constraint on soil communities. This coupling is particularly evident in polar terrestrial ecosystems where biological diversity and activity is tightly constrained by edaphic gradients of productivity (e.g., soil moisture, organic carbon availability) and geochemical severity (e.g., pH, electrical conductivity). In the McMurdo Dry Valleys of Antarctica, environmental gradients determine numerous properties of soil communities and yet relatively few estimates of gross or net primary productivity (GPP, NPP) exist for this region. Here we describe a survey utilizing pulse amplitude modulation (PAM) fluorometry to estimate rates of GPP across a broad environmental gradient along with belowground microbial diversity and decomposition. PAM estimates of GPP ranged from an average of 0.27 mmol O2/m2/s in the most arid soils to an average of 6.97 mmol O2/m2/s in the most productive soils, the latter equivalent to 217 g C/m2/y in annual NPP assuming a 60 day growing season. A diversity index of four carbon-acquiring enzyme activities also increased with soil productivity, suggesting that the diversity of organic substrates in mesic environments may be an additional driver of microbial diversity. Overall, soil productivity was a stronger predictor of microbial diversity and enzymatic activity than any estimate of geochemical severity. These results highlight the fundamental role of environmental gradients to control community diversity and the dynamics of ecosystem-scale carbon pools in arid systems. 

1 aGeyer, Kevin, M.1 aTakacs-Vesbach, Cristina, D.1 aGooseff, Michael, N.1 aBarrett, John, E. uhttps://peerj.com/articles/3377/02242nas a2200181 4500008004100000245012300041210006900164260001200233300001400245490000700259520163300266100002101899700002501920700002401945700001701969700001701986856005702003 2016 eng d00aPatterns of hydrologic connectivity in the McMurdo dry valleys, Antarctica: a synthesis of 20 years of hydrologic data0 aPatterns of hydrologic connectivity in the McMurdo dry valleys A c04/2016 a2958-29750 v303 a

Streams in the McMurdo Dry Valleys (MDVs) of Antarctica moderate an important hydrologic and biogeochemical connection between upland alpine glaciers, valley-bottom soils, and lowland closed-basin lakes. Moreover, MDV streams are simple but dynamic systems ideal for studying interacting hydrologic and ecological dynamics. This work synthesizes 20 years of hydrologic data, collected as part of the MDVs Long-Term Ecological Research project, to assess spatial and temporal dynamics of hydrologic connectivity between glaciers, streams, and lakes. Long-term records of stream discharge (Q), specific electrical conductance (EC), and water temperature (T) from 18 streams were analysed in order to quantify the magnitude, duration, and frequency of hydrologic connections over daily, annual, and inter-annual timescales. At a daily timescale, we observe predictable diurnal variations in Q, EC, and T. At an annual timescale, we observe longer streams to be more intermittent, warmer, and have higher median EC values, compared to shorter streams. Longer streams also behave chemostatically with respect to EC, whereas shorter streams are more strongly characterized by dilution. Inter-annually, we observe significant variability in annual runoff volumes, likely because of climatic variability over the 20 record years considered. Hydrologic connections at all timescales are vital to stream ecosystem structure and function. This synthesis of hydrologic connectivity in the MDVs provides a useful end-member template for assessing hydrologic connectivity in more structurally complex temperate watersheds. 

1 aWlostowski, Adam1 aGooseff, Michael, N.1 aMcKnight, Diane, M.1 aJaros, Chris1 aLyons, Berry uhttp://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hyp.1081800864nas a2200217 4500008004100000245020400041210006900245260001200314300001600326490000700342100002400349700001600373700002400389700002500413700001700438700001300455700001700468700002100485700002100506856011900527 2015 eng d00aPotential for real-time understanding of coupled hydrologic and biogeochemical processes in stream ecosystems: Future integration of telemetered data with process models for glacial meltwater streams0 aPotential for realtime understanding of coupled hydrologic and b c08/2015 a6725 - 67380 v511 aMcKnight, Diane, M.1 aCozzetto, K1 aCullis, James, D.S.1 aGooseff, Michael, N.1 aJaros, Chris1 aKoch, J.1 aLyons, Berry1 aNeupauer, R., M.1 aWlostowski, Adam uhttp://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/2015WR017618http://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2F2015WR017618