<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Steven L. Chown</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lee, J. E.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hughes, K. A.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Barnes, J.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Barrett, P.J.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">D.M. Bergstrom</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Convey, P.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Cowan, Don A.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Crosbie, K.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Dyer, G.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Frenot, Y.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Grant, S. M.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Herr, D.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Kennicutt, M. C.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lamers, M.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Murray, A.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Possingham, H. P.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Reid, K.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Riddle, M. J.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ryan, P. G.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sanson, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Shaw, J. D.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sparrow, M.D.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Summerhayes, C.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Terauds, A.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Diana H. Wall</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Challenges to the Future Conservation of the Antarctic</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Science</style></secondary-title><short-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Science</style></short-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Jan-07-2013</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/doi/10.1126/science.1222821</style></url></web-urls></urls><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">337</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">158 - 159</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; line-height: 19.2px;&quot;&gt;The Antarctic Treaty System, acknowledged as a successful model of cooperative regulation of one of the globe&amp;#39;s largest commons (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;em style=&quot;outline-style: none; font-size: 12.8px; font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 19.2px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);&quot;&gt;1&lt;/em&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; line-height: 19.2px;&quot;&gt;), is under substantial pressure. Concerns have been raised about increased stress on Antarctic systems from global environmental change and growing interest in the region&amp;#39;s resources (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;em style=&quot;outline-style: none; font-size: 12.8px; font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 19.2px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);&quot;&gt;2&lt;/em&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; line-height: 19.2px;&quot;&gt;,&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;em style=&quot;outline-style: none; font-size: 12.8px; font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 19.2px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);&quot;&gt;3&lt;/em&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; line-height: 19.2px;&quot;&gt;). Although policy-makers may recognize these challenges, failure to respond in a timely way can have substantial negative consequences. We provide a horizon scan, a systematic means for identifying emerging trends and assisting decision-makers in identifying policies that address future challenges (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;em style=&quot;outline-style: none; font-size: 12.8px; font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 19.2px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);&quot;&gt;2&lt;/em&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; line-height: 19.2px;&quot;&gt;,&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;em style=&quot;outline-style: none; font-size: 12.8px; font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 19.2px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);&quot;&gt;3&lt;/em&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; line-height: 19.2px;&quot;&gt;). Previous analyses of conservation threats in the Antarctic have been restricted to matters for which available evidence is compelling (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;em style=&quot;outline-style: none; font-size: 12.8px; font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 19.2px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);&quot;&gt;4&lt;/em&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 'Lucida Grande', arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; line-height: 19.2px;&quot;&gt;). We reconsider these concerns because they might escalate quickly, judging from recent rapid environmental change in parts of Antarctica and increasing human interest in the region (see the map). We then focus on a more distant time horizon.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">6091</style></issue></record></records></xml>