<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Echeverría, Sebastián</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hausner, Mark B.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bambach, Nicolás</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Vicuña, Sebastián</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Suárez, Francisco</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Modeling present and future ice covers in two Antarctic lakes</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Glaciology</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">climate change</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">energy balance</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">ice and climate</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">ice-sheet modeling</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">lake ice</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2020</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">02/2020</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-glaciology/article/modeling-present-and-future-ice-covers-in-two-antarctic-lakes/9306439ADD5492BC05F3BAF0E076B1C3</style></url></web-urls></urls><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">66</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;Antarctic lakes with perennial ice covers provide the opportunity to investigate in-lake processes without direct atmospheric interaction, and to study their ice-cover sensitivity to climate condi- tions. In this study, a numerical model &amp;ndash; driven by radiative, atmospheric and turbulent heat fluxes from the water body beneath the ice cover &amp;ndash; was implemented to investigate the impact of climate change on the ice covers from two Antarctic lakes: west lobe of Lake Bonney (WLB) and Crooked Lake. Model results agreed well with measured ice thicknesses of both lakes (WLB &amp;ndash; RMSE= 0.11 m over 16 years of data; Crooked Lake &amp;ndash; RMSE= 0.07 m over 1 year of data), and had acceptable results with measured ablation data at WLB (RMSE= 0.28 m over 6 years). The differences between measured and modeled ablation occurred because the model does not consider interannual variability of the ice optical properties and seasonal changes of the lake&amp;rsquo;s thermal structure. Results indicate that projected summer air temperatures will increase the ice-cover annual melting in WLB by 2050, but that the ice cover will remain peren- nial through the end of this century. Contrarily, at Crooked Lake the ice cover becomes ephem- eral most likely due to the increase in air temperatures.&lt;/p&gt;</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">255</style></issue></record></records></xml>